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6/13/2017 – Reviewing the Apple (AAPL) Uptrend

Apple (AAPL) Logo

6/13/2017 – Reviewing the Apple (AAPL) Uptrend

June 13, 2017 Posted by Limit5Bass AAPL - Apple 2 comments

FANG stocks have seen some increased selling pressure lately. The sell-offs for some of the tech titans in the FANG group seemed to have started at the end of last week.

Apple (AAPL) is not technically part of the FANG group. FANG stands for Facebook, Amazon, Netflix and Google. But while Apple (AAPL) may not be part of the group, its share price has also seen increased selling pressure the last few days just like the FANG stocks have seen.

Should the sell-off in these large-cap tech names cause concern? Or does the sell-off represent a possible opportunity to add to your position? The answer may be both, depending upon your risk appetite.

Let’s review some of the details that point towards a continued uptrend for Apple’s share price, even though it may be seeing a period of consolidation over the next few weeks.

We will then see if the results from Apple’s (AAPL) stock chart review can be extrapolated across other companies based on similar chart patterns. But first, let’s dive into Apple’s charts.

Apple (AAPL) – Elliott Wave Analysis

This first chart is a 5 year weekly candlestick chart. I zoomed out a little further on this chart to look at Apple (AAPL) from an Elliott Wave perspective. Weekly charts are probably the best chart view to use when analyzing Elliott Waves.

The strong uptrend that Apple (AAPL) was in prior to its recent couple day sell-off leaves no doubt that its share price was in a Wave 3 of a Bullish Impulse wave pattern prior to its recent sell-off.

Apple (AAPL)

Analyzing Apple’s (AAPL) Share Price Using Elliott Waves

The recent sell-off appears to be signaling the end of the uptrend for Wave 3 and the beginning of a consolidation period for Wave 4. The gray shaded box is the best area to pick up shares during a Wave 4 pullback.

Any shares bought during the current Wave 4 consolidation period offer the opportunity to sell the shares at a new 52 week high.

Bullish Impulse Wave Pattern

Bullish Impulse Wave Pattern

To the right is an illustration of a Bullish Impulse wave pattern. Notice that Wave 4 does not enter into the price territory of Wave 1. Trendy Stock Charts members can learn more about the characteristics for Bullish Impulse wave patterns and each individual wave (waves 1-5) that make up the pattern by following the link to “Elliott Wave Personalities and Characteristics“.

Now it is time review some shorter-term charts to develop an action plan of purchasing and then disposing of some AAPL shares. Or maybe it will be disposing of some more shares and then re-purchasing those shares. Most likely, the next course of action (buying or selling shares) will depend upon[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]…..

If you want to continue reading this article for Apple (AAPL), you must first login. 

If you are not a Trendy Stock Charts member, consider joining today! There are several different subscription plans available.[/s2If][s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] the next earning results, so let’s review the details so hopefully you can understand what I am trying to say.

Apple (AAPL) – Fibonacci Retracement

This next chart is a 1 year daily candlestick chart. Above, I’ve illustrated how I think AAPL’s share price just completed a Wave 3 in a Bullish Impulse wave pattern. I’ve placed a Fibonacci Retracement Tool on the chart in order to estimate pullback areas.

Apple (AAPL)

Using a Fibonacci Retracement Tool to Estimate a Good Support Area to Purchase or Re-Purchase Apple Shares

The Fibonacci Retracement Tool was only placed on Wave 3 of the uptrend rather than the entire uptrend.

Only place a Fibonacci Retracement Tool on an entire uptrend when you think the uptrend is completely over. Otherwise, the pullback target areas may be calculated too low and you will never see the prices you’ve estimated.

The uptrend based on my Elliott Wave analysis does not appear to be over for AAPL’s share price, hence I only placed the Fibonacci Retracement Tool on the current portion of the uptrend (since the last several week correction).

A typical Wave 3 in a Bullish Impulse wave pattern tends to retrace the minimum 38.2%. At most, Wave 3’s tend to correct to the 50% Retracement Line. Any pullback to either of these Retracement Lines before AAPL’s share price makes a new 52 week high is a buying opportunity.

If AAPL’s share price makes a new 52 week high before reaching the 38.2% Retracement Line at a minimum and that will be an opportunity to trim any remaining shares you may still own and then look to repurchase those shares again at lower prices.

Apple (AAPL) – Summary

The uptrend for AAPL’s share price has been strong. Do not get shaken out of your position or lock in profits until at least a new 52 week high is made.

Any pullbacks before a new 52 week high is made only offer an opportunity to jump in on Wave 5 of its Bullish Impulse wave pattern. Wave 5 will take AAPL’s share price to new highs one more time. At the end of Wave 5 though, it will be time to let go of AAPL for a few months, similar to my recommendation during AAPL’s previous peak around the $135 area before it pulled back to the low $90’s.

If AAPL’s share price continues pulling back before making its new 52 week high, look to start scaling back in and purchase or repurchase shares around the 38.2% Retracement Line. Hold onto those shares until a new 52 week high is made.

Ask away with any questions or if you want more details!

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Tags: 38.2% Retracement LineAAPLAppleBullish Impulse Wave PatternBullish Impulse Wave Pattern CharacteristicsElliott Wave AnalysisFibonacci Retracement Tool To Estimate The Current PullbackWave 3Wave 4 Pullback Estimate
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About Limit5Bass

I am a stock chart analyst that uses various forms of technical analysis to calculate buy and sell targets for companies and their share prices. TSC Members can request a stock analysis and article for any publicly traded company.

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2 comments

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  • dkling1977
    · Reply

    June 14, 2017 at 8:53 AM

    Thanks LB! This is great. Looks like I’m buying in late June or July and it should hit new highs when the Iphone 8 comes out in Fall. Perfect!

    Take care

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  • Limit5Bass
    · Reply

    Author
    June 15, 2017 at 1:16 PM

    Your welcome dkling1977!

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