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10/31/2017 – General Electric’s (GE) Stock Chart Is Scary!

General Electric (GE) Logo

10/31/2017 – General Electric’s (GE) Stock Chart Is Scary!

October 31, 2017 Posted by Limit5Bass GE - General Electric No comments

General Electric (GE) reported earnings on October 20, 2017; its share price has been in a steady downtrend since. Let’s review some longer-term charts to see where support areas may be for this Halloween special GE stock chart review.

My previous full-length update for General Electric can be quickly accessed here.

“4/2/2017 – General Electric (GE) Stock Chart Review”

In that update, I talked about 2 support areas below its current price where GE would find support from its Head & Shoulders chart pattern that developed. Those price levels were the $28 and $24 price levels. Neither support area has held. It’s time to look at some updated chart activity and re-analyze the charts.

General Electric (GE)

This first chart for General Electric (GE) is a 10 year monthly candlestick chart. When shorter-term support areas do not hold, it means you typically need to increase the scope of what you are looking at. Go bigger picture. If a correction is larger or longer than you anticipated, the best way to re-analyze a chart is to look at a bigger picture. This 10 year chart captures GE’s entire uptrend, which is what it is probably in the process of correcting right now.

With a MACD Histogram that reflects increasing selling momentum along with the fact that there has been increasing selling volume indicates a probable push towards the bottom of the support area. The support area is identified by the gray shaded box. A 61.8% Retracement, a very common retracement percentage for uptrends, falls near the bottom of the support area.

General Electric (GE)

Analyzing a 10 Year Long-Term Trend Chart for General Electric (GE)

GE’s share price may find some temporary support around the 50% Retracement Line, but based on the other bearish factors noted above, that support will most likely be temporary. For an uptrend that lasted 8 years, the ensuing downtrend won’t be over that quickly…

However, if you have every wanted an opportunity to purchase shares for GE for the long-term, sometime in the next 3-9 months could be the best and cheapest opportunity of your lifetime. It will be important to set an alert with your trading platform with a price target equal to the 61.8% Retracement Line. The trade will need to be re-analyzed at that time.

Since this is a longer-term trade set-up, one aspect can be monitored by you at home. It will be important to see 2 consecutive months of decreasing selling momentum on the MACD Histogram chart indicator. Once that occurs, it is possible that a bottom has formed is is forming. That is the opportunity to purchase your long-term shares.

GE – Dividend Cut?

One other bearish item to consider. One of the reasons for the sell-off after earnings was due to the talks of a possible dividend cut. Consider the status of these talks once GE is in a buying range. If the dividend cut is still on the table as a possibility, maybe the $16 price level isn’t so attractive after all.

GE – Point & Figure

Let’s review the Point & Figure price targets for the 2 methods – High/Low and Close.

High/Low Point & Figure – $11 Bearish Price Objective

Closing Point & Figure – $11 Bearish Price Objective

Both the High/Low and the Closing P&F Charts have identical price targets. Both of these are even lower than the $16 support area I was looking for.

GE – Moving Averages

There is one thing to consider for long-term investors before making a purchase to help remove the risk of a continued downtrend. If you do not want to try and time the bottom, let General Electric’s (GE) share price develop a Golden Cross pattern and then purchase its next pullback. The development of a new Golden Cross pattern typically signals a change frombearish to bullish behavior.

That trade set-up is one I’ve mentioned several times before – purchasing shares on the 1st pullback to the 200 Day moving average after the development of a Golden Cross pattern.

General Electric (GE) Summary

Consider long-term shares around the $16 area if talks of a dividend cut diminish. If the dividend cut remains a possibility as GE’s share price approaches the $16 downside target, the lack of a dividend has to be considered.

It will be important to stay on top of the dividend cut talks if GE is a long-term stock for you. Because if GE is a stock for you and the dividend cut talks do diminish, the $16 price area could be the buying area of your lifetime. But if the dividend cut talks remain, maybe the $11 bearish price objectives calculated by the Point & Figure charts come to fruition.

If you are one of the longer-term investors considering some General Electric shares, then drop a request for an update at any time….

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Tags: 61.8% Retracement LineFibonacci Retracement ToolGEGeneral ElectricMACD Histogram Long-Term Selling Momentum IncreasingP&F ChartPoint & Figure ChartPurchase Shares on 1st Pullback to the 200 Day Moving Average After the Development of a Golden Cross
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About Limit5Bass

I am a stock chart analyst that uses various forms of technical analysis to calculate buy and sell targets for companies and their share prices. TSC Members can request a stock analysis and article for any publicly traded company.

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